A Novel Framework for Real-Time Predictive Modeling of Economic Indicators Using Machine Learning Techniques

Authors

  • Dana Brown PhD
  • Quinn Collins Associate Professor
  • Kim Wright Professor
  • Riley White Dr. Sc

Keywords:

Machine Learning, Economic Forecasting, Predictive Modeling, GDP Prediction, Inflation Rates, Ensemble Learning, Econometric Techniques, Real-Time Data

Abstract

This paper investigates the implications of machine learning (ML) algorithms in the real-time prediction of key economic indicators such as GDP and inflation rates. By developing a novel methodological framework that integrates ensemble learning techniques with economic theory, we present a robust model that enhances predictive accuracy while minimizing bias. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset covering multiple countries, we employ statistical validation methods to assess the model's performance against traditional econometric approaches. The results underscore the potential of ML to revolutionize economic forecasting, providing policymakers with timely insights that can inform economic strategies. This study concludes that machine learning not only improves prediction accuracy but also offers a dynamic approach to understanding economic fluctuations.

Author Biographies

Dana Brown, PhD

PhD
University of Mannheim
Schloss, 68131 Mannheim, Germany

Quinn Collins, Associate Professor

Associate Professor
Stanford University
450 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA 94305, USA

Kim Wright, Professor

Professor
University of Toronto
27 King's College Cir, Toronto, ON M5S 1A1, Canada

Riley White, Dr. Sc

Dr. Sc
London School of Economics
Houghton St, London WC2A 2AE, UK

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Published

2024-08-15

Issue

Section

Articles